I do not want to claim that I know for sure because the Safety and Ethics Committee cutting Ngoyai Edward Lowassa name from the list of presidential candidates whose names were submitted in the Central Committee of the National Council for the primaries.
But it is not very difficult to probe why Lowassa campaign fell nose. Lowassa made several strategic mistakes.
To understand it prompted Lowassa make strategic mistakes, it is important to review the context of the history of political Lowassa. There are two basic issues in this context.
First, Mwalimu Nyerere questioned the sincerity of Lowassa and allegedly rejected during his life from contesting the presidency of the United Republic of Tanzania from wealthier indescribable.
Second, Lowassa was forced to resign the premiership in 2008 after the Richmond scandal in connection with the Government's strategy to seek ways to resolve emergencies serious problem of shortage of electricity.
That is the title of his large political ends. Lowassa dreams, who he believed would remain in that position for 10 years all of Kikwete and eventually succeed the presidency, were extinguished suddenly.
The two people mentioned that it was the star of movies that political, Richmond, iliyomdondosha Lowassa. Chairman of the Parliamentary Select Committee, Dr. Harrison Mwakyembe and Speaker of the Parliament of the time, Samuel Sitta. No wonder then that both of these have remained political enemies Lowassa.
After kustaaafu, there have been rumors that Lowassa relationship with his close friend of many days, Jakaya Kikwete has been undecided might perhaps because Lowassa believes he defended. There are even some who believe that Kikwete was behind the strategy to remove him from the 'speed' strong performance given to cover iliyotishia Lowassa.
In that context, presidential Lowassa two would mean huge. First, it would be a chance to clear his name because it is usually our last works is that build how we kavyokumbukwa heritage. Lowassa position on government was the prime minister who had left the rumored scandals corrupts.
Secondly, this would Lowassa chance to revenge for his evil. Signaling claimed he has no allegiances, but does he chooses Mwakyembe, Sitta Paul lean peaked or any government.
I am sure, would Lowassa administration concluded or bleach the political future of these politicians in the leadership of this country.
No need to resist neck lines stretching the truth because Lowassa would be the first to do so. If you examine you will realize that even Nyerere, Mwinyi, Kikwete - they deprive some people an opportunity. All Administrators do so and will not do so badly, politically.
Knowing that he would accomplish these two, cleaning name and vengeance, Lowassa wanted to presidency. Asked that very much is not a problem. but it is eager to show that it was a problem. It was a matter of 'it should not be', 'whichever' and 'at any cost'. Ilitutisha some people. And it was a first offense made.
In very requesting the presidency, intermediate Lowassa gave 'ultimatum' (threat) for his party. He cited as saying does not see the possibility of defeat and find someone to cut her name.
That was another mistake. Alikiuka important base of CCM who themselves have been memorizing frequently, "the first party, one future '.
It is clear that if he were president, CCM would be hard to control. He would be stronger than the party. Should not be so, especially now when the party's Secretary General, Abdulrahman Kinana a party strategies give more power to manage the government.
Lowassa went on to make another mistake to invite friends and signaling behavior with suspicion and doubt in his campaign. Among these were former ministers and businessmen from the government in various scandals.
It was not a good move for Lowassa who already has a spot of Richmond kujizungushia people with spots like him.
Even people who appeared to publicly question the decision of the Central Committee, Chairman of the Community of Women Sophia Simba, former Chairman of the Community Youth CCM, Emmanuel Nchimbi and MP for East Africa, Adam Kimbisa, in my opinion were led by their interests than the people . None of them with a clean record to show oversees the public interest. To me all these are 'opportunists'.
Lowassa campaign was also rich. Money was out out until it is hard to know who is following Lowassa because of the money and who believes strongly in the quality of the presidency for the development Lowassa!
Some of the journalists were very blessed in this period and it was a good time for the CCM regional chairmen of picking up and gave 'intelligent' and clearly show their will. Even the Chairman of Geita, is markedly Magufuli, was Lowassa camp!
In the show we witnessed the power of money hungry clerics and pastors and boda boda resentful they might persuade agombee - design empty! Preparation of clothes and other materials Lowassa team was too big - even before he knew if he went through the primaries!
Lowassa appoint CCM party could even kukiletea dangerous because there are some who think that candidate had not only violated the code of ethics of the association, but also the laws of the trail. It should be noted registrar of political parties in the country, Judge Francis Mutungi he warned that comply with the law regarding election expenses inayothibiti misuse of money in the process.
Lowassa, knowing the risks he face from conservatives within the party who questioned his ethics, he decided to come up with a strategy to create a "group of pressure from outside party 'to make the decision to conservative pressure. It was not also very good strategy and contrary to the expectations of the conservatives strengthened commitment to 'cut off'.
However, the strategic mistakes he did Lowassa are understandable. He had two tasks to prevent the attack and used the strategy of using more power than brains. Finally ikamgharimu.
But Lowassa would do? The simple answer is that he was humble behavior, could make people clean team, would make things significantly and lowered. Europeans say, 'nothing very kikizidi is harmful'.
Kilichomponza Membe ...
Personally I would expect that Membe passed in primaries, when Lowassa been deducted. I expected that the Central Committee of the Executive Committee I would find sensible to cut his name (Membe) to break up gangs and bring unity in the party.
Who does not know that Membe was the direct rival of Lowassa? These are like Simba and Yanga.
Kotowiva to the camp did not come Membe Lowassa and superficially. Lowassa Team Membe is believed that someone close to Kikwete and the choice of the White House. Therefore Lowassa team believed the White House effort to cut off their candidate focused help Membe.
Due to the closeness is highlighted by the Kikwete and Membe, who are like-laws given Membe is from Lindi like Salma's mother, it was not hard for me to predict that Membe would fall in the National Executive Committee which was filled with lovers of Lowassa.
Likewise, it was not hard to realize that another boy Kikwete, a former author remarks, January Makamba would join the Membe thrown out of the race. Kikwete their proximity to these two otherwise good intentions.
In the 'saga' of Lowassa, I will not stop inquiring about the attitudes of Kingunge Ngombale Mwiru, a veteran politician, who before these events was set at the level of integrity, competence and respect for Nyerere, Kawawa and let the rest of us.
Why did he agree to remove mud and anoint his honor because of Lowassa? What Aliahidiwa until he appeared publicly as a heretic and try to feel secure that people only prevail if Lowassa CCM will be a candidate? One not Kingunge I think he is.
Magufuli aokota dodo ...
End of day chemist John Magufuli, who runs the campaign 'cool' without fanfare, he picked up a mango dodo sand in Conference after dropping two women Amina Salim Ally and Asha Rose Migiro who entered them in kinyang'anyoro final period.
I'm not sure if he deserved more than all candidates, but of course he was a better choice than the two mothers had oingea and finals, given the challenges facing the nation and challenged the opposition parties.
Magufuli comes from the Lake Zone. He is a good executive who wants to see the results, has experienced at least 20 years in government. Despite being a scientist, a politician vibrant Magufuli lililothibitika matter for how he was mingling with the people in the General Assembly hall at the begging votes.
Magufuli has its weaknesses too. She does not know Kiswahili and mix 'r' and 'l' in his remarks. At some point he may be a dictator. Magufuli also has quick decisions. I believe it does not have extensive experience internationally and perhaps will need experience as Amina Salim Ally, Asha Migiro and Dr. Augustine Mahiga, to help in that area.
However, the truth is that the many challenges facing the nation is currently inside than outside. We expect Magufuli was passed that the president will strengthen national solidarity, will deal with corruption, will start the war against drugs, will bring discipline in the collection of revenue and expenses
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